Free CFA Institute CFA-Level-III Exam Questions

Mark Stober, William Robertson, and James McGuire are consultants for a regional pension consultancy. One of their clients, Richard Smitherspoon, chief investment officer of Quality Car Part Manufacturing, recently attended a conference on risk management topics for pension plans. Smitherspoon is a conservative manager who prefers to follow a long-term investment strategy with little portfolio turnover. Smitherspoon has substantial experience in managing a defined benefit plan but has little experience with risk management issues. Smitherspoon decides to discuss how Quality can begin implementing risk management techniques with Stober, Robertson, and McGuire. Quality's risk exposure is evaluated on a quarterly basis. Before implementing risk management techniques, Smitherspoon expresses confusion regarding some measures of risk management. "I know beta and standard deviation, but what is all this stuff about convexity, delta, gamma, and vega?" Stober informs Smitherspoon that delta is the first derivative of the call-stock price curve, and Robertson adds that gamma is the relationship between how bond prices change with changing time to maturity. Smitherspoon is still curious about risk management techniques, and in particular the concept of VAR. He asks, "What does a daily 5% VAR of $5 million mean? I just get so confused with whether VAR is a measure of maximum or minimum loss. Just last month, the consultant from MinRisk, a competing consulting firm, told me it was ‘a measure of maximum loss, which in your case means we are 95% confident that the maximum 1-day loss is $5.0 million." McGuire states that his definition of VAR is that "VAR is a measure that combines probabilities over a certain time horizon with dollar amounts, which in your case means that one expects to lose a minimum $5 million five trading days out of every 100." Smitherspoon expresses bewilderment at the different methods for determining VAR. "Can't you risk management types formulate a method that works like calculating a beta? It would be so easy if there were a method that allowed one to just use mean and standard deviation. I need a VAR that I can get my arms around." The next week, Stober visits the headquarters of TopTech, a communications firm. Their CFO is Ralph Long, who prefers to manage the firm's pension himself because he believes he can time the market and spot upcoming trends before analysts can. Long also believes that risk measurement for TopTech can be evaluated annually because of his close attention to the portfolio. Stober calculates TopTech's 95% surplus at risk to be S500 million for an annual horizon. The expected return on TopTech's asset base (currently at S2 billion) is 5%. The plan has a surplus of $100 million. Stober uses a 5% probability level to calculate the minimum amount by which the plan will be underfunded next year. Of the following VAR calculation methods, the measure that would most likely suit Smitherspoon is the:

Gabrielle Reneau, CFA, and Jack Belanger specialize in options strategies at the brokerage firm of Damon andDamon. They employ fairly sophisticated strategies to construct positions with limited risk, to profit from futurevolatility estimates, and to exploit arbitrage opportunities. Damon and Damon also provide advice to outsideportfolio managers on the appropriate use of options strategies. Damon and Damon prefer to use, andrecommend, options written on widely traded indices such as the S&P 500 due to their higher liquidity.However, they also use options written on individual stocks when the investor has a position in the underlyingstock or when mispricing and/or trading depth exists.In order to trade in the one-year maturity puts and calls for the S&P 500 stock index, Reneau and Belangercontact the chief economists at Damon and Damon, Mark Blair and Fran Robinson. Blair recently joined Damonand Damon after a successful stint at a London investment bank. Robinson has been with Damon and Damonfor the past ten years and has a considerable record of success in forecasting macroeconomic activity. In hisforecasts for the U.S. economy over the next year, Blair is quite bullish, for both the U.S. economy and the S&P500 stock index. Blair believes that the U.S. economy will grow at 2% more than expected over the next year.He also states that labor productivity will be higher than expected, given increased productivity through the useof technological advances. He expects that these technological advances will result in higher earnings for U.S.firms over the next year and over the long run.Reneau believes that the best S&P 500 option strategy to exploit Blair's forecast involves two options of thesame maturity, one with a low exercise price, and the other with a high exercise price. The beginning stockprice is usually below the two option strike prices. She states that the benefit of this strategy is that themaximum loss is limited to the difference between the two option prices.Belanger is unsure that Blair's forecast is correct. He states that his own reading of the economy is for acontinued holding pattern of low growth, with a similar projection for the stock market as a whole. He states thatDamon and Damon may want to pursue an options strategy where a put and call of the same maturity andsame exercise price are purchased. He asserts that such a strategy would have losses limited to the total costof the two options.Reneau and Belanger are also currently examining various positions in the options of Brendan Industries.Brendan Industries is a large-cap manufacturing firm with headquarters in the midwestern United States. Thefirm has both puts and calls sold on the Chicago Board Options Exchange. Their options have good liquidity forthe near money puts and calls and for those puts and calls with maturities less than four months. Reneaubelieves that Brendan Industries will benefit from the economic expansion forecasted by Mark Blair, the Damonand Damon economist. She decides that the best option strategy to exploit these expectations is for her topursue the same strategy she has delineated for the market as a whole.Shares of Brendan Industries are currently trading at $38. The following are the prices for their exchangetraded options.As a mature firm in a mature industry, Brendan Industries stock has historically had low volatility. However,Belanger's analysis indicates that with a lawsuit pending against Brendan Industries, the volatility of the stockprice over the next 60 days is greater by several orders of magnitude than the implied volatility of the options.He believes that Damon and Damon should attempt to exploit this projected increase in Brendan Industries1volatility by using an options strategy where a put and call of the same maturity and same exercise price areutilized. He advocates using the least expensive strategy possible.During their discussions, Reneau cites a counter example to Brendan Industries from last year. She recalls thatNano Networks, a technology firm, had a stock price that stayed fairly stable despite expectations to thecontrary. In this case, she utilized an options strategy where three different calls were used. Profits were earnedon the strategy because Nano Networks' stock price stayed fairly stable. Even if the stock price had becomevolatile, losses would have been limited.Later that week, Reneau and Belanger discuss various credit option strategies during a lunch time presentationto Damon and Damon client portfolio managers. During their discussion, Reneau describes a credit optionstrategy that pays the holder a fixed sum, which is agreed upon when the option is written, and occurs in theevent that an issue or issuer goes into default. Reneau declares that this strategy can take the form of eitherputs or calls. Belanger states that this strategy is known as either a credit spread call option strategy or a creditspread put option strategy.Reneau and Belanger continue by discussing the benefits of using credit options. Reneau mentions that creditoptions written on an underlying asset will protect against declines in asset valuation. Belanger says that creditspread options protect against adverse movements of the credit spread over a referenced benchmark.Assume Reneau applies the options strategy used earlier for Nano Networks. Assuming there is a 3-month 45call on Brendan Industries trading at $1.00, calculate the maximum gain and maximum loss on this position.Max gain Max loss

Pace Insurance is a large, multi-line insurance company that also owns several proprietary mutual funds. Thefunds are managed individually, but Pace has an investment committee that oversees all of the funds. Thiscommittee is responsible for evaluating the performance of the funds relative to appropriate benchmarks andrelative to the stated investment objectives of each individual fund. During a recent investment committeemeeting, the poor performance of Pace's equity mutual funds was discussed. In particular, the inability of theportfolio managers to outperform their benchmarks was highlighted. The net conclusion of the committee wasto review the performance of the manager responsible for each fund and dismiss those managers whoseperformance had lagged substantially behind the appropriate benchmark.The fund with the worst relative performance is the Pace Mid-Cap Fund, which invests in stocks with acapitalization between S40 billion and $80 billion. A review of the operations of the fund found the following:• The turnover of the fund was almost double that of other similar style mutual funds.• The fund's portfolio manager solicited input from her entire staff prior to making any decision to sell an existingholding.• The beta of the Pace Mid-Cap Fund's portfolio was 60% higher than the beta of other similar style mutualfunds.• No stock is considered for purchase in the Mid-Cap Fund unless the portfolio manager has 15 years offinancial information on that company, plus independent research reports from at least three different analysts.• The portfolio manager refuses to increase her technology sector weighting because of past losses the fundincurred in the sector.• The portfolio manager sold all the fund's energy stocks as the price per barrel of oil rose above $80. Sheexpects oil prices to fall back to the $40 to S50 per barrel range.A committee member made the following two comments:Comment 1: "One reason for the poor recent performance of the Mid-Cap Mutual Fund is that the portfoliolacks recognizable companies. I believe that good companies make good investments."Comment 2: "The portfolio manager of the Mid-Cap Mutual Fund refuses to acknowledge her mistakes. Sheseems to sell stocks that appreciate, but hold stocks that have declined in value."The supervisor of the Mid-Cap Mutual Fund portfolio manager made the following statements:Statement 1: "The portfolio manager of the Mid-Cap Mutual Fund has engaged in quarter-end window dressingto make her portfolio look better to investors. The portfolio manager's action is a behavioral trait known as overreaction."Statement 2: "Each time the portfolio manager of the Mid-Cap Mutual fund trades a stock, she executes thetrade by buying or selling one-third of the position at a time, with the trades spread over three months. Theportfolio manager's action is a behavioral trait known as anchoring."Indicate whether Statement 1 and Statement 2 made by the supervisor are correct.

Jerry Edwards is an analyst with DeLeon Analytics. He is currently advising the CFO of Anderson Corp., amultinational manufacturing corporation based in Newark, New Jersey, USA. Jackie Palmer is Edwards'sassistant. Palmer is well versed in risk management, having worked at a large multinational bank for the lastten years prior to coming to Anderson.Anderson has received a $2 million note with a duration of 4.0 from Weaver Tools for a shipment delivered lastweek. Weaver markets tools and machinery from manufacturers of Anderson's size. Edwards states that inorder to effectively hedge the price risk of this instrument, Anderson should sell a series of interest rate calls.Palmer states that an alternative hedge for the note would be to enter an interest rate swap as the fixed-ratepayer.As well as selling products from a Swiss plant in Europe, Anderson sells products in Switzerland itself. As aresult, Anderson has quarterly cash flows of 12,000,000 Swiss franc (CHF). In order to convert these cashflows into dollars, Edwards suggests that Anderson enter into a currency swap without an exchange of notionalprincipal. Palmer contacts a currency swap dealer with whom they have dealt in the past and finds the followingexchange rate and annual swap interest rates:Exchange Rate (CHF per dollar) 1.24Swap interest rate in U.S. dollars 2.80%Swap interest rate in Swiss franc 6.60%Discussing foreign exchange rate risk in general, Edwards states that it is transaction exposure that is mostoften hedged, because the amount to be hedged is contractual and certain. Economic exposure, he states, isless certain and thus harder to hedge.To finance their U.S. operations, Anderson issued a S10 million fixed-rate bond in the United States five yearsago. The bond had an original maturity often years and now has a modified duration of 4.0. Edwards states thatAnderson should enter a 5-year semiannual pay floating swap with a notional principal of about $11.4 million totake advantage of falling interest rates. The duration of the fixed-rate side of the swap is equal to 75% of itsmaturity or 3.75 (= 0.75 x 5). The duration of the floating side of the swap is 0.25. Palmer states that Anderson'sposition in the swap will have a negative duration.For another client of DeLeon, Edwards has assigned Palmer the task of estimating the interest rate sensitivityof the client's portfolios. The client's portfolio consists of positions in both U.S. and British bonds. The relevantinformation for estimating (he duration contribution of the British bond and the portfolio's total duration isprovided below.U.S. dollar bond $275,000British bond $155,000British yield beta 1.40Duration of U.S. bond 4.0Duration of British bond 8.5When discussing portfolio management with clients, Edwards recommends the use of emerging market bondsto add value to a core-plus strategy. He explains the characteristics of emerging market debt to Palmer bystating:1. "The performance of emerging market debt has been quite resilient over time. After crises in the debtmarkets, emerging market bonds quickly recover after a crisis, so long-term returns can be poor."2. "Emerging market debt is quite volatile due in part to the nature of political risk in these markets. It istherefore important that the analyst monitor the risk of these markets. I prefer to measure the risk of emergingmarket bonds with the standard deviation because it provides the best representation of risk in these markets."Regarding his two statements about the characteristics of emerging market debt, is Edwards correct?

Milson Investment Advisors (MIA) specializes in managing fixed income portfolios for institutional clients. Manyof MIA's clients are able to take on substantial portfolio risk and therefore the firm's funds invest in all creditqualities and in international markets. Among its investments, MIA currently holds positions in the debt of Worthinc., Enertech Company, and SBK Company.Worth Inc. is a heavy equipment manufacturer in Germany. The company finances a significant amount of itsfixed assets using bonds. Worth's current debt outstanding is in the form of non-callable bonds issued twoyears ago at a coupon rate of 7.2% and a maturity of 15 years. Worth expects German interest rates to declineby as much as 200 basis points (bps) over the next year and would like to take advantage of the decline. Thecompany has decided to enter into a 2-year interest rate swap with semiannual payments, a swap rate of 5.8%,and a floating rate based on 6-month EURIBOR. The duration of the fixed side of the swap is 1.2. Analysts atMIA have made the following comments regarding Worth's swap plan:• "The duration of the swap from the perspective of Worth is 0.95."• "By entering into the swap, the duration of Worth's long-term liabilities will become smaller, causing the valueof the firm's equity to become more sensitive to changes in interest rates."Enertech Company is a U.S.-based provider of electricity and natural gas. The company uses a large proportionof floating rate notes to finance its operations. The current interest rate on Enertech's floating rate notes, basedon 6-month LIBOR plus 150bp, is 5.5%. To hedge its interest rate risk, Enertech has decided to enter into along interest rate collar. The cap and the floor of the collar have maturities of two years, with settlement dates(in arrears) every six months. The strike rate for the cap is 5.5% and for the floor is 4.5%, based on 6-monthLIBOR, which is forecast to be 5.2%, 6.1%, 4.1%, and 3.8%, in 6,12, 18, and 24 months, respectively. Eachsettlement period consists of 180 days. Analysts at MIA are interested in assessing the attributes of the collar.SBK Company builds oil tankers and other large ships in Norway. The firm has several long-term bond issuesoutstanding with fixed interest rates ranging from 5.0% to 7.5% and maturities ranging from 5 to 12 years.Several years ago, SBK took the pay floating side of a semi-annual settlement swap with a rate of 6.0%, afloating rate based on LIBOR, and a tenor of eight years. The firm now believes interest rates may increase in 6months, but is not 100% confident in this assumption. To hedge the risk of an interest rate increase, given itsinterest rate uncertainty, the firm has sold a payer interest rate swaption with a maturity of 6 months, anunderlying swap rate of 6.0%, and a floating rate based on LIBOR.MIA is considering investing in the debt of Rio Corp, a Brazilian energy company. The investment would be inRio's floating rate notes, currently paying a coupon of 8.0%. MIA's economists are forecasting an interest ratedecline in Brazil over the short term.Determine whether the MIA analysts' comments regarding the duration of the Worth Inc. swap and the effectsof the swap on the company's balance sheet are correct or incorrect.