Become CFA Institute Certified with updated CFA-Level-III exam questions and correct answers
Smiler Industries is a U.S. manufacturer of machine tools and other capital goods. Dat Ng, the CFO of Smiler,feels strongly that Smiler has a competitive advantage in its risk management practices. With this in mind, Nghedges many of the risks associated with Smiler's financial transactions, which include those of a financialsubsidiary. Ng's knowledge of derivatives is extensive, and he often uses them for hedging and in managingSrniler's considerable investment portfolio.Smiler has recently completed a sale to Frexa in Italy, and the receivable is denominated in euros. Thereceivable is €10 million to be received in 90 days. Srniler's bank provides the following information:
Smiler borrows short-term funds to meet expenses on a temporary basis and typically makes semiannualinterest payments based on 180-day LIBOR plus a spread of 150 bp. Smiler will need to borrow S25 million in90 days to invest in new equipment. To hedge the interest rate risk on the loan, Ng is considering the purchaseof a call option on 180-day LIBOR with a term to expiration of 90 days, an exercise rate of 4.8%, and a premiumof 0.000943443 of the loan amount. Current 90-day LIBOR is 4.8%.Smiler also has a diversified portfolio of large cap stocks with a current value of $52,750,000, and Ng wants tolower the beta of the portfolio from its current level of 1.25 to 0.9 using S&P 500 futures which have a multiplierof 250. The S&P 500 is currently 1,050, and the futures contract exhibits a beta of 0.98 to the underlying.Because Ng intends to replace the short-term LIBOR-based loan with long-term financing, he wants to hedgethe risk of a 50 bp change in the market rate of the 20-year bond Smiler will issue in 270 days. The currentspread to Treasuries for Smiler's corporate debt is 2.4%. He will use a 270-day, 20-year Treasury bond futurescontract ($100,000 face value) currently priced at 108.5 for the hedge. The CTD bond for the contract has aconversion factor of 1.259 and a dollar duration of $6,932.53. The corporate bond, if issued today, would havean effective duration of 9.94 and has an expected effective duration at issuance of 9.90 based on a constantspread assumption. A regression of the YTM of 20-year corporate bonds with a rating the same as Smiler's onthe YTM of the CTD bond yields a beta of 1.05.If Ng purchases the interest rate call, and 180-day LIBOR at option expiration is 5.73%, the annualized effectiverate for the 180-day loan is closest to:
John Green, CFA, is a sell-side technology analyst at Federal Securities, a large global investment banking andadvisory firm. In many of his recent conversations with executives at the firms he researches, Green has hearddisturbing news. Most of these firms are lowering sales estimates for the coming year. However, the stockprices have been stable despite management's widely disseminated sales warnings. Green is preparing hisquarterly industry analysis and decides to seek further input. He calls Alan Volk, CFA, a close friend who runsthe Initial Public Offering section of the investment banking department of Federal Securities.Volk tells Green he has seen no slowing of demand for technology IPOs. "We've got three new issues due outnext week, and two of them are well oversubscribed." Green knows that Volk's department handled over 200IPOs last year, so he is confident that Volk's opinion is reliable. Green prepares his industry report, which isfavorable. Among other conclusions, the report states that "the future is still bright, based on the fact that 67%of technology IPOs are oversubscribed." Privately, Green recommends to Federal portfolio managers that theybegin selling all existing technology issues, which have "stagnated," and buy the IPOs in their place.After carefully evaluating Federal's largest institutional client's portfolio, Green contacts the client andrecommends selling all of his existing technology stocks and buying two of the upcoming IPOs, similar to therecommendation given to Federal's portfolio managers. Green's research has allowed him to conclude that onlythese two IPOs would be appropriate for this particular client's portfolio. Investing in these IPOs and selling thecurrent technology holdings would, according to Green, "double the returns that your portfolio experienced lastyear."Federal Securities has recently hired Dirks Bentley, a CFA candidate who has passed Level 2 and is currentlypreparing to take the Level 3 CFA® exam, to reorganize Federal's compliance department. Bentley tells Greenthat he may be subject to CFA Institute sanctions due to inappropriate contact between analysts andinvestment bankers within Federal Securities. Bentley has recommended that Green implement a firewall torectify the situation and has outlined the key characteristics for such a system. Bentley's suggestions are asfollows:1. Any communication between the departments of Federal Securities must be channeled through thecompliance department for review and eventual delivery. The firm must create and maintain watch, restricted,and rumor lists to be used in the review of employee trading.2. All beneficial ownership, whether direct or indirect, of recommended securities must be disclosed in writing.3. The firm must increase the level of review or restriction of proprietary trading activities during periods inwhich the firm has knowledge of information that is both material and nonpublic.Bentley has identified two of Green's analysts, neither of whom have non-compete contracts, who are preparingto leave Federal Securities and go into competition. The first employee, James Ybarra, CFA, has agreed totake a position with one of Federal's direct competitors. Ybarra has contacted existing Federal clients using aclient list he created with public records. None of the contacted clients have agreed to move their accounts asYbarra has requested. The second employee, Martha Cliff, CFA, has registered the name Cliff InvestmentConsulting (CIC), which she plans to use for her independent consulting business. For the new businessventure, Cliff has developed and professionally printed marketing literature that compares the new firm'sservices to that of Federal Securities and highlights the significant cost savings that will be realized by switchingto CIC. After she leaves Federal, Cliff plans to target many of the same prospects that Federal Securities istargeting, using an address list she purchased from a third-party vendor. Bentley decides to call a meeting withGreen to discuss his findings.After discussing the departing analysts. Green asks Bentley how to best handle the disclosure of the followingitems: (1) although not currently a board member. Green has served in the past on the board of directors of acompany he researches and expects that he will do so again in the near future; and (2) Green recently inheritedput options on a company for which he has an outstanding buy recommendation. Bentley is contemplating hisresponse to Green.According to Standard 11(A) Material Nonpublic Information, when Green contacted Volk, he:
Security analysts Andrew Tian, CFA, and Cameron Wong, CFA, are attending an investment symposium at theSingapore Investment Analyst Society. The focus of the symposium is capital market expectations and relativeasset valuations across markets. Many highly-respected practitioners and academics from across the AsiaPacific region are on hand to make presentations and participate in panel discussions.The first presenter, Lillian So, President of the Society, speaks on market expectations and tools for estimatingintrinsic valuations. She notes that analysts attempting to gauge expectations are often subject to variouspitfalls that subjectively skew their estimates. She also points out that there are potential problems relating to achoice of models, not all of which describe risk the same way. She then provides the following data to illustratehow analysts might go about estimating expectations and intrinsic values.
The next speaker, Clive Smyth, is a member of the exchange rate committee at the Bank of New Zealand. Hispresentation concerns the links between spot currency rates and forecasted exchange rates. He states thatforeign exchange rates are linked by several forces including purchasing power parity (PPP) and interest rateparity (IRP). He tells his audience that the relationship between exchange rates and PPP is strongest in theshort run, while the relationship between exchange rates and IRP is strongest in the long run. Smyth goes on tosay that when a country's economy becomes more integrated with the larger world economy, this can have aprofound impact on the cost of capital and asset valuations in that country.The final speaker in the session directed his discussion toward emerging market investments. This discussion,by Hector Ruiz, head of emerging market investment for the Chilean Investment Board, was primarilyconcerned with how emerging market risk differs from that in developed markets and how to evaluate thepotential of emerging market investments. He noted that sometimes an economic crisis in one country canspread to other countries in the area, and that asset returns often exhibit a greater degree of non-normality thanin developed markets.Ruiz concluded his presentation with the data in the tables below to illustrate factors that should be consideredduring the decision-making process for portfolio managers who are evaluating investments in emergingmarkets.
Determine which of the following characteristics of emerging market debt investing presents the global fixedincome portfolio manager with the best potential to generate enhanced returns.
Mark Stober, William Robertson, and James McGuire are consultants for a regional pension consultancy. One of their clients, Richard Smitherspoon, chief investment officer of Quality Car Part Manufacturing, recently attended a conference on risk management topics for pension plans. Smitherspoon is a conservative manager who prefers to follow a long-term investment strategy with little portfolio turnover. Smitherspoon has substantial experience in managing a defined benefit plan but has little experience with risk management issues. Smitherspoon decides to discuss how Quality can begin implementing risk management techniques with Stober, Robertson, and McGuire. Quality's risk exposure is evaluated on a quarterly basis. Before implementing risk management techniques, Smitherspoon expresses confusion regarding some measures of risk management. "I know beta and standard deviation, but what is all this stuff about convexity, delta, gamma, and vega?" Stober informs Smitherspoon that delta is the first derivative of the call-stock price curve, and Robertson adds that gamma is the relationship between how bond prices change with changing time to maturity. Smitherspoon is still curious about risk management techniques, and in particular the concept of VAR. He asks, "What does a daily 5% VAR of $5 million mean? I just get so confused with whether VAR is a measure of maximum or minimum loss. Just last month, the consultant from MinRisk, a competing consulting firm, told me it was ‘a measure of maximum loss, which in your case means we are 95% confident that the maximum 1-day loss is $5.0 million." McGuire states that his definition of VAR is that "VAR is a measure that combines probabilities over a certain time horizon with dollar amounts, which in your case means that one expects to lose a minimum $5 million five trading days out of every 100." Smitherspoon expresses bewilderment at the different methods for determining VAR. "Can't you risk management types formulate a method that works like calculating a beta? It would be so easy if there were a method that allowed one to just use mean and standard deviation. I need a VAR that I can get my arms around." The next week, Stober visits the headquarters of TopTech, a communications firm. Their CFO is Ralph Long, who prefers to manage the firm's pension himself because he believes he can time the market and spot upcoming trends before analysts can. Long also believes that risk measurement for TopTech can be evaluated annually because of his close attention to the portfolio. Stober calculates TopTech's 95% surplus at risk to be S500 million for an annual horizon. The expected return on TopTech's asset base (currently at S2 billion) is 5%. The plan has a surplus of $100 million. Stober uses a 5% probability level to calculate the minimum amount by which the plan will be underfunded next year. Of the following VAR calculation methods, the measure that would most likely suit Smitherspoon is the:
Garrison Investments is a money management firm focusing on endowment management for small collegesand universities. Over the past 20 years, the firm has primarily invested in U.S. securities with small allocationsto high quality long-term foreign government bonds. Garrison's largest account, Point University, has a marketvalue of $800 million and an asset allocation as detailed in Figure 1.Figure 1: Point University Asset Allocation
*Bond coupon payments are all semiannual.
Managers at Garrison are concerned that expectations for a strengthening U.S. dollar relative to the British
pound could negatively impact returns to Point University's U.K. bond allocation. Therefore, managers have
collected information on swap and exchange rates. Currently, the swap rates in the United States and the
United Kingdom are 4.9% and 5.3%, respectively. The spot exchange rate is 0.45 GBP/USD. The U.K. bonds
are currently trading at face value.
Garrison recently convinced the board of trustees at Point University that the endowment should allocate a
portion of the portfolio into international equities, specifically European equities. The board has agreed to the
plan but wants the allocation to international equities to be a short-term tactical move. Managers at Garrison
have put together the following proposal for the reallocation:
To minimize trading costs while gaining exposure to international equities, the portfolio can use futures
contracts on the domestic 12-month mid-cap equity index and on the 12-month European equity index. This
strategy will temporarily exchange $80 million of U.S. mid-cap exposure for European equity index exposure.
Relevant data on the futures contracts are provided in Figure 2.
Figure 2: Mid-cap index and European Index Futures Data
Three months after proposing the international diversification plan, Garrison was able to persuade PointUniversity to make a direct short-term investment of $2 million in Haikuza Incorporated (HI), a Japaneseelectronics firm. HI exports its products primarily to the United States and Europe, selling only 30% of itsproduction in Japan. In order to control the costs of its production inputs, HI uses currency futures to mitigateexchange rate fluctuations associated with contractual gold purchases from Australia. In its current contract, HIhas one remaining purchase of Australian gold that will occur in nine months. The company has hedged thepurchase with a long 12-month futures contract on the Australian dollar (AUD).Managers at Garrison are expecting to sell the HI position in one year, but have become nervous about theimpact of an expected depreciation in the value of the Yen relative to the U.S. dollar. Thus, they have decidedto use a currency futures hedge. Analysts at Garrison have estimated that the covariance between the localcurrency returns on HI and changes in the USD/Yen spot rate is -0.184 and that the variance of changes in theUSD/Yen spot rate is 0.92.Which of the following best describes the minimum variance hedge ratio for Garrison's currency futures hedgeon the Haikuza investment?
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