Free CFA Institute CFA-Level-III Exam Questions

Security analysts Andrew Tian, CFA, and Cameron Wong, CFA, are attending an investment symposium at theSingapore Investment Analyst Society. The focus of the symposium is capital market expectations and relativeasset valuations across markets. Many highly-respected practitioners and academics from across the AsiaPacific region are on hand to make presentations and participate in panel discussions.The first presenter, Lillian So, President of the Society, speaks on market expectations and tools for estimatingintrinsic valuations. She notes that analysts attempting to gauge expectations are often subject to variouspitfalls that subjectively skew their estimates. She also points out that there are potential problems relating to achoice of models, not all of which describe risk the same way. She then provides the following data to illustratehow analysts might go about estimating expectations and intrinsic values.The next speaker, Clive Smyth, is a member of the exchange rate committee at the Bank of New Zealand. Hispresentation concerns the links between spot currency rates and forecasted exchange rates. He states thatforeign exchange rates are linked by several forces including purchasing power parity (PPP) and interest rateparity (IRP). He tells his audience that the relationship between exchange rates and PPP is strongest in theshort run, while the relationship between exchange rates and IRP is strongest in the long run. Smyth goes on tosay that when a country's economy becomes more integrated with the larger world economy, this can have aprofound impact on the cost of capital and asset valuations in that country.The final speaker in the session directed his discussion toward emerging market investments. This discussion,by Hector Ruiz, head of emerging market investment for the Chilean Investment Board, was primarilyconcerned with how emerging market risk differs from that in developed markets and how to evaluate thepotential of emerging market investments. He noted that sometimes an economic crisis in one country canspread to other countries in the area, and that asset returns often exhibit a greater degree of non-normality thanin developed markets.Ruiz concluded his presentation with the data in the tables below to illustrate factors that should be consideredduring the decision-making process for portfolio managers who are evaluating investments in emergingmarkets.Determine which of the following characteristics of emerging market debt investing presents the global fixedincome portfolio manager with the best potential to generate enhanced returns.

Jacques Lepage, CFA, is a portfolio manager for MontBlanc Securities and holds 4 million shares of AirCon inclient portfolios. Lepage issues periodic research reports on AirCon to both discretionary and nondiscretionaryaccounts. In his October investment report, Lepage stated, "In my opinion, AirCon is entering a phase, whichcould put it 'in play' as a takeover target. Nonetheless, this possibility appears to be fully reflected in the marketvalue of the stock."One month has passed since Lepage's October report and AirCon has just announced the firm's executivecompensation packages, which include stock options (50% of which expire in one year), personal use ofcorporate aircraft (which can be used in conjunction with paid vacation days), and a modest base salary thatconstitutes a small proportion of the overall package. While he has not asked, he believes that the directors of MontBlanc will find the compensation excessive and sells the entire position immediately after the news. Unbeknownst to Lepage, three days earlier an announcement was made via Reuters and other financial news services that AirCon had produced record results that were far beyond expectations. Moreover, the firm has established a dominant position in a promising new market that is expected to generate above-average firm growth for the next five years. A few weeks after selling the AirCon holdings, Lepage bought 2.5 million shares of Spectra Vision over a period of four days. The typical trading volume of this security is about 1.3 million shares per day, and his purchases drove the price up 9% over the 4-day period. These trades were designated as appropriate for 13 accounts of differing sizes, including performance-based accounts, charitable trusts, and private accounts. The shares were allocated to the accounts on a pro rata basis at the end of each day at the average price for the day. One of the investment criteria used in evaluating equity holdings is the corporate governance structure of the issuing company. Because Lepage has dealt with this topic extensively, he has been asked to present a talk of corporate governance issues to the firm's portfolio managers and analysts at the next monthly meeting. At the meeting, Lepage makes the following comments: "When evaluating the corporate governance policies of a company, you should begin by assessing the responsibilities of the company's board of directors. In general, the board should have the responsibility to set long-term objectives that are consistent with shareholders' interests. In addition, the board must be responsible for hiring the CEO and setting his or her compensation package such that the CEO's interests are aligned with those of the shareholders. In that way the board can spend its time on matters other than monitoring the CEO. A firm with good corporate governance policies should also have an audit committee made up of independent board members that are experienced in auditing and related legal matters. The audit committee should have full access to the firm's financial statements and the ability to question auditors hired by the committee." According to the CFA Institute Code and Standards, Lepage's ignorance of AirCon's press release to Reuters three days before he sold shares of the company:

Garrison Investments is a money management firm focusing on endowment management for small collegesand universities. Over the past 20 years, the firm has primarily invested in U.S. securities with small allocationsto high quality long-term foreign government bonds. Garrison's largest account, Point University, has a marketvalue of $800 million and an asset allocation as detailed in Figure 1.Figure 1: Point University Asset Allocation*Bond coupon payments are all semiannual. Managers at Garrison are concerned that expectations for a strengthening U.S. dollar relative to the British pound could negatively impact returns to Point University's U.K. bond allocation. Therefore, managers have collected information on swap and exchange rates. Currently, the swap rates in the United States and the United Kingdom are 4.9% and 5.3%, respectively. The spot exchange rate is 0.45 GBP/USD. The U.K. bonds are currently trading at face value. Garrison recently convinced the board of trustees at Point University that the endowment should allocate a portion of the portfolio into international equities, specifically European equities. The board has agreed to the plan but wants the allocation to international equities to be a short-term tactical move. Managers at Garrison have put together the following proposal for the reallocation: To minimize trading costs while gaining exposure to international equities, the portfolio can use futures contracts on the domestic 12-month mid-cap equity index and on the 12-month European equity index. This strategy will temporarily exchange $80 million of U.S. mid-cap exposure for European equity index exposure. Relevant data on the futures contracts are provided in Figure 2. Figure 2: Mid-cap index and European Index Futures DataThree months after proposing the international diversification plan, Garrison was able to persuade PointUniversity to make a direct short-term investment of $2 million in Haikuza Incorporated (HI), a Japaneseelectronics firm. HI exports its products primarily to the United States and Europe, selling only 30% of itsproduction in Japan. In order to control the costs of its production inputs, HI uses currency futures to mitigateexchange rate fluctuations associated with contractual gold purchases from Australia. In its current contract, HIhas one remaining purchase of Australian gold that will occur in nine months. The company has hedged thepurchase with a long 12-month futures contract on the Australian dollar (AUD).Managers at Garrison are expecting to sell the HI position in one year, but have become nervous about theimpact of an expected depreciation in the value of the Yen relative to the U.S. dollar. Thus, they have decidedto use a currency futures hedge. Analysts at Garrison have estimated that the covariance between the localcurrency returns on HI and changes in the USD/Yen spot rate is -0.184 and that the variance of changes in theUSD/Yen spot rate is 0.92.Which of the following best describes the minimum variance hedge ratio for Garrison's currency futures hedgeon the Haikuza investment?

Jerry Edwards is an analyst with DeLeon Analytics. He is currently advising the CFO of Anderson Corp., amultinational manufacturing corporation based in Newark, New Jersey, USA. Jackie Palmer is Edwards'sassistant. Palmer is well versed in risk management, having worked at a large multinational bank for the lastten years prior to coming to Anderson.Anderson has received a $2 million note with a duration of 4.0 from Weaver Tools for a shipment delivered lastweek. Weaver markets tools and machinery from manufacturers of Anderson's size. Edwards states that inorder to effectively hedge the price risk of this instrument, Anderson should sell a series of interest rate calls.Palmer states that an alternative hedge for the note would be to enter an interest rate swap as the fixed-ratepayer.As well as selling products from a Swiss plant in Europe, Anderson sells products in Switzerland itself. As aresult, Anderson has quarterly cash flows of 12,000,000 Swiss franc (CHF). In order to convert these cashflows into dollars, Edwards suggests that Anderson enter into a currency swap without an exchange of notionalprincipal. Palmer contacts a currency swap dealer with whom they have dealt in the past and finds the followingexchange rate and annual swap interest rates:Exchange Rate (CHF per dollar) 1.24Swap interest rate in U.S. dollars 2.80%Swap interest rate in Swiss franc 6.60%Discussing foreign exchange rate risk in general, Edwards states that it is transaction exposure that is mostoften hedged, because the amount to be hedged is contractual and certain. Economic exposure, he states, isless certain and thus harder to hedge.To finance their U.S. operations, Anderson issued a S10 million fixed-rate bond in the United States five yearsago. The bond had an original maturity often years and now has a modified duration of 4.0. Edwards states thatAnderson should enter a 5-year semiannual pay floating swap with a notional principal of about $11.4 million totake advantage of falling interest rates. The duration of the fixed-rate side of the swap is equal to 75% of itsmaturity or 3.75 (= 0.75 x 5). The duration of the floating side of the swap is 0.25. Palmer states that Anderson'sposition in the swap will have a negative duration.For another client of DeLeon, Edwards has assigned Palmer the task of estimating the interest rate sensitivityof the client's portfolios. The client's portfolio consists of positions in both U.S. and British bonds. The relevantinformation for estimating (he duration contribution of the British bond and the portfolio's total duration isprovided below.U.S. dollar bond $275,000British bond $155,000British yield beta 1.40Duration of U.S. bond 4.0Duration of British bond 8.5When discussing portfolio management with clients, Edwards recommends the use of emerging market bondsto add value to a core-plus strategy. He explains the characteristics of emerging market debt to Palmer bystating:1. "The performance of emerging market debt has been quite resilient over time. After crises in the debtmarkets, emerging market bonds quickly recover after a crisis, so long-term returns can be poor."2. "Emerging market debt is quite volatile due in part to the nature of political risk in these markets. It istherefore important that the analyst monitor the risk of these markets. I prefer to measure the risk of emergingmarket bonds with the standard deviation because it provides the best representation of risk in these markets."Regarding his two statements about the characteristics of emerging market debt, is Edwards correct?

Matrix Corporation is a multidivisional company with operations in energy, telecommunications, and shipping.Matrix sponsors a traditional defined benefit pension plan. Plan assets are valued at $5.5 billion, while recentdeclines in interest rates have caused plan liabilities to balloon to $8.3 billion. Average employee age at Matrixis 57.5, which is considerably higher than the industry average, and the ratio of active to retired lives is 1.1. JoeElliot, Matrix's CFO, has made the following statement about the current state of the pension plan."Recent declines in interest rates have caused our pension liabilities to grow faster than ever experienced in ourlong history, but I am sure these low rates are temporary. I have looked at the charts and estimated theprobability of higher interest rates at more than 90%. Given the expected improvement in interest rate levels,plan liabilities will again come back into line with our historical position. Our investment policy will therefore beto invest plan assets in aggressive equity securities. This investment exposure will bring our plan to an overfunded status, which will allow us to use pension income to bolster our profitability."